Glasgow Rangers — Kilmarnock FC: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

Glasgow Rangers host Kilmarnock FC in the Premiership with a clear gap between the sides on recent form. The hosts arrive on a five-match winning run, taking all fifteen points on offer and conceding just once across those games. They sit second in the table on seventeen points from eight matches, while Kilmarnock FC prop up the division in twelfth, having collected only six points over the same stretch and losing two of their last five.

The historical pattern reinforces the picture. In six previous meetings, Glasgow Rangers have won five against a single Kilmarnock FC success, and the last encounter finished 5-1 in the hosts' favour. Five of those six games also went over two and a half goals, suggesting an open game is more likely than a cagey one, even if the question of whether both teams find the net has been closer to an even split in that sample.

On balance, the hosts look clearly stronger here, with their home chance creation outstripping what they concede, while the visitors have been roughly level on that measure on the road. The expectation is a Glasgow Rangers win in a game that could produce several goals, though football rarely follows the script exactly.