Dundee United — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.1% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.0% / 35.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.1% / 77.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Dundee United
9th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away St Mirren 3:0
- 05.09.2026 home Falkirk 1:1
- 02.09.2026 away Motherwell 0:3
- 29.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 4:0
- 22.08.2026 home Dundee 0:2
Hibernian FC
10th place · 8 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Aberdeen 1:1
- 15.09.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:1
- 06.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:2
- 03.09.2026 home Hearts 1:3
- 30.08.2026 away Dundee 2:1
This season: Dundee United at home vs Hibernian FC away
| Metric | Dundee United · at home | Hibernian FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–1 | 2–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.72 | 1.96 |
| xG against per match | 1.33 | 1.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.33 | 5.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.02.2026 Hibernian FC 3:2 Dundee United
- 20.12.2025 Dundee United 1:1 Hibernian FC
- 13.09.2025 Hibernian FC 3:3 Dundee United
- 03.05.2025 Hibernian FC 3:1 Dundee United
- 26.02.2025 Dundee United 1:3 Hibernian FC
- 03.11.2024 Hibernian FC 1:1 Dundee United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee United host Hibernian FC in a Premiership fixture where the table offers little separation between the two sides. The hosts sit ninth with eight points from seven games, while Hibernian FC are directly below them in tenth on the same points tally from one additional match. What stands out, though, is the contrast in form by venue: Dundee United have yet to win at home this season, drawing two and losing one of their three fixtures, whereas Hibernian FC have taken two wins from their three away trips. On that basis, the teams look evenly matched, with a slight lean towards the visitors.
The head-to-head record reinforces that lean. Across the last six meetings, Dundee United have not beaten Hibernian FC once, with three draws and three away wins, and the most recent encounter ended 3-2 in Hibernian FC's favour. Goals have been a consistent feature too, with both teams scoring in every one of those six matches.
Taken together, the pattern points to an open contest where both sides can find the net. Dundee United's struggles at home against a visitor that travels well suggest the draw or an away result remains the more defensible reading, though confidence here is only moderate.
What matters before kick-off
Marink Reedijk to make Hibernian managerial debut
Newly appointed Hibernian manager Marink Reedijk is set to take charge of his first official match for the club in this Premiership fixture against Dundee United.
Dundee United seeking first home league win of the season
Dundee United enter the fixture against Hibernian still searching for their first home league victory of the Premiership campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
