Mjallby AIF — SK Slovan Bratislava: Win probabilities, 04.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.8% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.3% / 23.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.8% / 86.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Mjallby AIF have a slight but clearly supported edge over SK Slovan Bratislava in this UEFA Champions League qualification tie. The assessment points toward a competitive match in which the hosts may be better placed to control the key phases, particularly if they can impose their rhythm and make effective use of home advantage. However, the gap between the sides is not presented as decisive, so SK Slovan Bratislava should remain capable of keeping the contest balanced.
A medium-scoring game is the most likely overall profile. The possibility of both teams finding the net is difficult to separate, making the defensive performance of each side especially important. Mjallby AIF appear better positioned in the result market, but a draw remains a credible outcome, which makes the home win or draw selection the more measured interpretation. The match is therefore likely to be close, with discipline, chance conversion and the response to pressure potentially determining which team gains the advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Third qualifying round first leg
Mjällby AIF host ŠK Slovan Bratislava at Strandvallen in Sölvesborg for the first leg of their UEFA Champions League 2026/27 third qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.