Mirassol FC SP — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 16.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
43.8%
Home win
Mirassol FC SP
X
27.6%
Draw
W2
28.6%
Away win
SC Internacional RS
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1272.4%
Both teams to score
Yes54.5%
Totals 2.5
Under50.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.4% |
| 12 | 72.4% | |
| X2 | 56.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.5% / 24.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Goal distribution model
Mirassol FC SP × SC Internacional RS
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.0%
0:1
7.1%
0:2
4.7%
0:3
1.8%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
9.4%
1:1
13.2%
1:2
7.1%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.8%
2:1
9.1%
2:2
5.3%
2:3
2.1%
2:4
0.6%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
3.9%
3:1
4.6%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.5%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
1:09.4%
2:19.1%
0:08.0%
2:07.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.10.2026
Mirassol FC SP
15th place · 33 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 away Bragantino 1:1
- 19.09.2026 home Botafogo RJ 2:0
- 13.09.2026 home Vitoria 2:2
- 06.09.2026 away Coritiba 2:1
- 02.09.2026 away Flamengo RJ 0:2
SC Internacional RS
17th place · 31 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Sao Paulo 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Santos 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Bahia 2:3
This season: Mirassol FC SP at home vs SC Internacional RS away
| Metric | Mirassol FC SP · at home | SC Internacional RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 6–5–4 | 3–5–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 57% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
Mirassol FC SP wins2
Draws1
SC Internacional RS wins0
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored3/3
Over 2.5 goals2/3
- 19.04.2026 SC Internacional RS 1:2 Mirassol FC SP
- 16.10.2025 Mirassol FC SP 3:1 SC Internacional RS
- 19.05.2025 SC Internacional RS 1:1 Mirassol FC SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.