Millwall FC — West Ham United: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.3% |
| 12 | 77.5% | |
| X2 | 82.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.2% / 17.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.6% / 40.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.2% / 62.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.9% / 80.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Millwall FC
12th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.09.2026 away Middlesbrough 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Blackburn 1:3
- 05.09.2026 home Bolton 4:0
- 02.09.2026 home Wrexham 0:3
- 29.08.2026 away Southampton 1:5
West Ham United
1st place · 14 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.09.2026 home Wrexham 6:0
- 08.09.2026 away Bolton 3:2
- 05.09.2026 home Derby 3:0
- 01.09.2026 home Wolves 4:2
- 29.08.2026 away Watford 1:1
This season: Millwall FC at home vs West Ham United away
| Metric | Millwall FC · at home | West Ham United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–1 | 1–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.85 | 1.48 |
| xG against per match | 1.02 | 1.83 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Millwall FC host West Ham United in a Championship meeting on 19 September 2026. The available assessment gives West Ham United a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the matchup is not expected to be one-sided. Millwall FC should have opportunities to compete, particularly if they can maintain their structure and make the most of their home advantage.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests the match could develop through periods of pressure at both ends rather than being controlled by one side throughout. West Ham United are marginally better placed in the overall evaluation, but Millwall FC remain capable of keeping the game close. The projected scorelines include a draw as well as a narrow West Ham United victory, reinforcing the view of a competitive fixture with attacking moments from both teams.
What matters before kick-off
First derby in 14 years
Millwall and West Ham United are meeting for the first time in 14 years, with their last official fixture played in February 2012.
West Ham's league form
West Ham United enter the match top of the Championship after four consecutive league wins, despite a midweek 3-2 defeat to Fulham in the Carabao Cup.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.