Middlesbrough FC — West Bromwich Albion: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.6% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.8% / 20.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.6% / 92.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Middlesbrough FC
13th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Blackburn 1:2
- 15.08.2026 home Lincoln 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Wrexham 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Watford 5:1
- 22.04.2026 home Sheffield Weds 1:0
West Bromwich Albion
2nd place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Burnley 3:1
- 15.08.2026 away Norwich 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Sheffield Weds 1:2
- 25.04.2026 home Ipswich 0:0
- 21.04.2026 home Watford 3:0
This season: Middlesbrough FC at home vs West Bromwich Albion away
| Metric | Middlesbrough FC · at home | West Bromwich Albion · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| xG against per match | 0.57 | 2.97 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.01.2026 West Bromwich Albion 2:3 Middlesbrough FC
- 19.09.2025 Middlesbrough FC 2:1 West Bromwich Albion
- 21.01.2025 Middlesbrough FC 2:0 West Bromwich Albion
- 01.10.2024 West Bromwich Albion 0:1 Middlesbrough FC
- 23.12.2023 Middlesbrough FC 1:0 West Bromwich Albion
- 26.08.2023 West Bromwich Albion 4:2 Middlesbrough FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Middlesbrough FC have a slight edge over West Bromwich Albion ahead of this Championship meeting, although the low confidence means the balance remains fairly delicate. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring contest rather than a match expected to be dominated by either side. Middlesbrough FC may have the stronger overall position in the forecast, but West Bromwich Albion remain well placed to make the game competitive.
The scoring outlook is particularly open to interpretation. Both teams scoring is described as a coin flip, so there is no clear indication that either a clean sheet or goals at both ends should be expected. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0, reflecting a narrow range between a shared result and a modest home win. Overall, the projection favours Middlesbrough FC, but only slightly, with the match likely to be decided by small details rather than a clear difference between the teams.
What matters before kick-off
EFL Cup midweek results
Ahead of their Championship clash, both teams played in the EFL Cup in midweek: Middlesbrough won 3-1 at Doncaster Rovers, while West Bromwich Albion were knocked out in a 3-2 loss against Newcastle United.
Aune Heggebø returns for West Brom
West Bromwich Albion forward Aune Heggebø is available for selection after completing a two-match suspension.
Middlesbrough's winning streak in head-to-head fixtures
Middlesbrough have won each of their last five meetings against West Bromwich Albion.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.