Los Angeles FC — Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.9% |
| 12 | 74.1% | |
| X2 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.7% / 34.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.7% / 59.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.7% / 77.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away FC Dallas 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away San Jose Earthquakes 2:2
- 13.09.2026 away Sporting Kansas City 1:3
- 10.09.2026 home New York Red Bulls 2:0
- 06.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:3
- 27.09.2026 home DC United 3:3
- 20.09.2026 away Real Salt Lake 3:0
- 13.09.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 10.09.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
This season: Los Angeles FC at home vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC away
| Metric | Los Angeles FC · at home | Vancouver Whitecaps FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–2–3 | 6–3–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.92 | 2.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.85 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 31% | 58% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.08.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1:1 Los Angeles FC
- 23.11.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:2 Los Angeles FC
- 30.06.2025 Los Angeles FC 0:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 12.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2:2 Los Angeles FC
- 09.11.2024 Los Angeles FC 1:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- 04.11.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3:0 Los Angeles FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Los Angeles FC host Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS fixture where the underlying numbers point to a tight, open contest rather than a clear favourite. At home this season the hosts have won eight of their thirteen matches, scoring 25 and conceding 11, which underlines a strong but not impenetrable base at their own venue. Vancouver Whitecaps FC, however, travel well: in twelve away games they have six wins and have also scored 25, so they arrive with firepower rather than a defensive mindset.
Recent form softens the home advantage. Los Angeles FC come in on a run of one win in their last five, with draws and defeats mixed in and more goals conceded than scored, while the visitors have alternated results but still produced eleven goals in their last five outings. The head-to-head record reinforces the balance, with three draws in six meetings and only one home win, and the last encounter finished Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC.
Taken together, the picture is of two evenly matched sides who tend to find the net against each other. A close, high-scoring game in which both teams get on the scoresheet looks the most coherent reading, with only a moderate lean in any direction.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.