Inter Miami CF — DC United: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

Inter Miami CF host DC United in an MLS fixture where recent history points firmly in the hosts' direction. Across six head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami CF have taken four wins while DC United have yet to claim a victory in the series, and the most recent encounter ended 2-1 in Inter Miami CF's favour. That pattern gives the hosts a clear qualitative edge going into kickoff, though the margin is a measured one rather than an overwhelming one.

The underlying form, however, invites some caution. Inter Miami CF arrive without a win in their last five outings, drawing four and losing one, and their home ledger this season shows just four wins from thirteen with seven draws, so points have often been shared on their own turf. DC United, for their part, have been difficult to beat on the road in a general sense, collecting seven away draws in twelve matches, which hints at a side capable of frustrating rather than overwhelming opponents.

Goals have featured prominently when these teams meet, with both sides finding the net in five of six previous encounters. Combined with the goal totals each team has produced recently, the match profile leans towards an open, scoring contest in which Inter Miami CF hold the stronger hand without any outcome being settled in advance.