Charlotte FC — FC Dallas: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.2% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 56.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.4% / 30.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.0% / 12.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.2% / 85.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home Chicago Fire 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away DC United 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away FC Cincinnati 3:3
- 10.09.2026 away CF Montreal 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 20.09.2026 home Austin FC 0:0
- 13.09.2026 home Portland Timbers 2:1
- 10.09.2026 away Minnesota United 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 4:3
This season: Charlotte FC at home vs FC Dallas away
| Metric | Charlotte FC · at home | FC Dallas · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 7–4–3 | 7–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.86 | 1.79 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 57% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Charlotte FC welcome FC Dallas in an MLS fixture where the recent form guides point in slightly different directions. The hosts have been steady rather than dominant across their last five outings, collecting two wins, two draws and a single defeat, scoring seven while conceding six. At home this season Charlotte FC have been reliable, winning seven of their fourteen matches on their own ground, with twenty-six goals scored against fourteen conceded. That base of home productivity sets the tone for what could again be an open contest.
FC Dallas arrive in sharper rhythm, unbeaten across their last five with four wins and a draw, finding the net nine times. Their away record this season mirrors the hosts' home return of seven wins from fourteen, though with twenty-five scored and twenty-two conceded, suggesting entertaining travel games rather than tight ones. The attacking numbers on both sides lean toward a match where goals are likely at either end.
Taken together, the two teams look evenly matched, with only a moderate edge discernible either way. The most plausible outcomes sit around a 1:1 draw or a narrow one-goal result, with both sides realistically capable of scoring given their recent attacking output.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.