Lincoln Red Imps — HNK Hajduk Split: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
8.7%
Home win
Lincoln Red Imps
X
17.9%
Draw
W2
73.4%
Away win
HNK Hajduk Split
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X291.3%
Both teams to score
No60.7%
Totals 2.5
Over51.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 26.6% |
| 12 | 82.1% | |
| X2 | 91.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.8% / 24.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.3% / 70.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.2% / 85.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.9% / 94.1% |
Goal distribution model
Lincoln Red Imps × HNK Hajduk Split
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.6%
0:1
13.8%
0:2
15.0%
0:3
10.7%
0:4
5.7%
0:5
2.5%
1
1:0
3.7%
1:1
8.3%
1:2
8.8%
1:3
6.3%
1:4
3.4%
1:5
1.4%
2
2:0
1.1%
2:1
2.4%
2:2
2.6%
2:3
1.8%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
0.2%
3:1
0.5%
3:2
0.5%
3:3
0.4%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.0%
4:1
0.1%
4:2
0.1%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:215.0%
0:113.9%
0:310.7%
1:28.8%
1:18.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Lincoln Red Imps
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home FC Twente Enschede 1:4
- 15.10.2026 away SK Brann 1:2
- 13.08.2026 away AC Omonia Nicosia 0:1
- 06.08.2026 home AC Omonia Nicosia 1:1
- 28.07.2026 home Mjallby AIF 0:0
HNK Hajduk Split
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away FC Thun 1:0
- 15.10.2026 home Ajax Amsterdam 2:1
- 13.08.2026 home Vilnius FK Zalgiris 4:0
- 06.08.2026 away Vilnius FK Zalgiris 5:2
- 30.07.2026 away Pafos FC 0:4
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.