Kuopion Palloseura — KAA Gent: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
15.1%
Home win
Kuopion Palloseura
X
22.9%
Draw
W2
62.0%
Away win
KAA Gent
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X284.9%
Both teams to score
No53.9%
Totals 2.5
Under51.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 38.0% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 84.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.0% / 73.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.6% / 87.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Goal distribution model
Kuopion Palloseura × KAA Gent
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.6%
0:1
13.0%
0:2
12.2%
0:3
7.5%
0:4
3.5%
0:5
1.3%
1
1:0
5.3%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
9.6%
1:3
5.9%
1:4
2.7%
1:5
1.0%
2
2:0
2.2%
2:1
4.1%
2:2
3.8%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
0.6%
3:1
1.1%
3:2
1.0%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.1%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:113.0%
0:212.2%
1:110.8%
1:29.6%
0:07.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Kuopion Palloseura
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away FK Borac Banja Luka 0:2
- 15.10.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:4
- 13.08.2026 away CS Universitatea Craiova 1:2
- 06.08.2026 home CS Universitatea Craiova 1:1
- 28.07.2026 home Sabah Masazir 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Anderlecht 4:0
- 10.10.2026 away Waregem 2:0
- 18.09.2026 home Standard 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away Genk 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.