Trabzonspor — SC Freiburg: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
34.0%
Home win
Trabzonspor
X
28.0%
Draw
W2
38.0%
Away win
SC Freiburg
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1272.0%
Both teams to score
Yes54.9%
Totals 2.5
Under50.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.0% |
| 12 | 72.0% | |
| X2 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.2% / 24.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Goal distribution model
Trabzonspor × SC Freiburg
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.0%
0:1
8.7%
0:2
6.6%
0:3
3.0%
0:4
1.0%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.1%
1:1
13.4%
1:2
8.5%
1:3
3.9%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
5.8%
2:1
7.9%
2:2
5.4%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.5%
3:1
3.4%
3:2
2.3%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.1%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.4%
0:18.7%
1:28.5%
1:08.1%
0:08.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Rizespor 4:3
- 19.10.2026 home Besiktas 2:0
- 10.10.2026 away Samsunspor 3:0
- 19.09.2026 home Galatasaray 4:0
- 12.09.2026 away Konyaspor 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Bayern Munich 1:3
- 18.10.2026 away Leverkusen 1:2
- 11.10.2026 home Schalke 04 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Ein Frankfurt 2:2
- 12.09.2026 home M'gladbach 5:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.