Lincoln City — Portsmouth FC: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.1% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.8% / 86.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Lincoln City
19th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Port Vale 2:0
- 25.04.2026 home Wycombe 4:3
- 21.04.2026 away Doncaster 2:0
- 18.04.2026 away Stevenage 2:2
Portsmouth FC
23rd place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home QPR 1:3
- 02.05.2026 home Birmingham 1:1
- 25.04.2026 away Stoke 3:1
- 21.04.2026 away Coventry 1:5
- 18.04.2026 home Leicester 1:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.04.2024 Lincoln City 0:2 Portsmouth FC
- 23.09.2023 Portsmouth FC 2:1 Lincoln City
- 18.02.2023 Lincoln City 0:0 Portsmouth FC
- 06.08.2022 Portsmouth FC 0:0 Lincoln City
- 15.04.2022 Portsmouth FC 3:2 Lincoln City
- 23.11.2021 Lincoln City 0:3 Portsmouth FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Lincoln City and Portsmouth FC look evenly matched heading into this Championship meeting. The available assessment points to a medium-scoring contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests the match may be decided by small details, such as how effectively each team manages periods of pressure and whether they can turn promising attacks into clear chances.
The scoring outlook is balanced as well: both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so either a shared contribution on the scoresheet or a narrow result for one side remains plausible. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, which reinforce the expectation of a competitive game rather than a wide margin. With moderate confidence in the assessment, Lincoln City have a slight edge in the broader market signal, particularly in the possibility of avoiding defeat, but Portsmouth FC remain well placed to make the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
Lincoln City's second-tier home return
Lincoln City host Portsmouth at the ProAmpac Stadium in what is the Imps' first home fixture in the second tier of English football in 65 years.
Portsmouth's opening form
Portsmouth head into the match at Lincoln City having suffered consecutive 3-1 defeats at the start of their Sky Bet Championship campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.