Lille OSC — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.2% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.7% / 18.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 away Toulouse 1:0
- 28.08.2026 home Paris SG 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Angers 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Auxerre 0:2
- 10.05.2026 away Monaco 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Real Madrid 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Levante 2:5
- 25.08.2026 away Valencia 1:0
- 21.08.2026 home Sociedad 1:0
- 23.05.2026 home Levante 2:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Lille OSC have a slight edge over Real Betis Seville in this UEFA Champions League meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with limited separation between the teams. The hosts may benefit from playing at home, but Real Betis Seville have enough attacking quality in this assessment to remain a persistent threat. The balance points toward Lille OSC being better placed to avoid defeat rather than toward a decisive advantage.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination could produce an open but measured game, where the first goal would carry significant tactical importance. Lille OSC may look to control the tempo and make their home advantage count, while Real Betis Seville could find opportunities if they can move the ball effectively through the attacking areas. The most plausible scorelines indicate a close encounter, with a draw and a narrow home win both consistent with the overall outlook.
What matters before kick-off
Real Betis victory over Real Madrid
Ahead of their Champions League opener, Real Betis secured a 1-0 La Liga victory against Real Madrid courtesy of an 81st-minute goal from Troy Parrott.
Lille victory over Toulouse
Lille, managed by Davide Ancelotti, secured a 1-0 Ligue 1 victory against Toulouse courtesy of a 73rd-minute goal by new signing Ayase Ueda.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.