Club Brugge — Aston Villa: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.6% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
- 07.08.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Hull 0:0
- 31.08.2026 home Arsenal 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Brighton 0:4
- 24.05.2026 away Man City 2:1
- 15.05.2026 home Liverpool 4:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Club Brugge and Aston Villa appear evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Champions League meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, so the contest is likely to be shaped by how effectively each team manages the other’s attacking threat. With only a moderate level of confidence in the overall outlook, the match should be approached as a competitive and finely balanced encounter rather than one with an obvious favourite.
The main expectation is for an open, high-scoring game in which both teams are likely to score. That points to a match with sustained attacking involvement at both ends, although the absence of a pronounced difference between Club Brugge and Aston Villa makes the final outcome difficult to separate. A draw is one plausible route, but either side could also take advantage if it converts its opportunities more efficiently. Overall, the strongest signal is toward goals from both teams, while the result itself remains uncertain.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head history
All three previous meetings between Club Brugge and Aston Villa took place in the 2024/25 Champions League. Club Brugge won 1-0 at home in the league phase, but Aston Villa eliminated them in the round of 16 with a 6-1 aggregate score (3-1 in Belgium, 3-0 in Birmingham).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.