AEK Athens — LASK Linz: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.6% |
| 12 | 77.5% | |
| X2 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
AEK Athens have a slight edge over LASK Linz in this UEFA Champions League matchup, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest that could remain competitive. The assessment leans toward the hosts, but not strongly enough to dismiss LASK Linz’s chances of influencing the result.
The scoring outlook points to an open game, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination makes a narrow AEK Athens victory plausible, while a draw also fits the balanced nature of the indications. The main market signal is both teams to score, supported by the high-scoring expectation rather than by a clear gap between the sides.
What matters before kick-off
AEK Athens beat Aris ahead of UCL opener
AEK Athens secured a 5-0 victory over Aris in the Greek Super League on September 5, 2026, three days before hosting LASK Linz in their UEFA Champions League league phase opener.
AEK youth team draws with LASK in Youth League
On September 8, 2026, AEK Athens U19 played out a 0-0 draw against LASK U19 in Matchday 1 of the UEFA Youth League phase.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.