Le Mans FC — Racing Club De Lens: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.0% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 81.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.9% / 14.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Le Mans FC
14th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Nice 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Rennes 2:3
- 22.08.2026 home Brest 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away Bastia 2:0
- 02.05.2026 home Reims 1:1
Racing Club De Lens
11th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Lorient 0:1
- 29.08.2026 away Strasbourg 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Auxerre 5:2
- 17.05.2026 away Lyon 4:0
- 13.05.2026 home Paris SG 0:2
This season: Le Mans FC at home vs Racing Club De Lens away
| Metric | Le Mans FC · at home | Racing Club De Lens · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.67 | 2.88 |
| xG against per match | 2.73 | 1.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 27.07.2019 Le Mans FC 1:2 Racing Club De Lens
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Le Mans FC face Racing Club De Lens in a Ligue 1 meeting on 13 September 2026. The available assessment gives Racing Club De Lens a slight edge, with moderate confidence, but the balance is not strong enough to suggest a one-sided contest. A draw remains a plausible outcome alongside a narrow away win.
The match is projected to have an open scoring profile, with both teams likely to find the net. The most plausible scorelines point toward a competitive game, particularly 1:1 or 1:2, while 0:2 is another possible route if Racing Club De Lens makes better use of its opportunities. Overall, the main expectation is for attacking intent from both sides, with Racing Club De Lens holding the clearer but limited advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Lens Champions League win ahead of the match
Lens entered the match on the back of a 3-2 away victory against Slavia Prague in the Champions League on September 10, scoring twice in stoppage time.
Suspension for Lens defender
Lens defender Souleymane Sagnan is suspended for the fixture against Le Mans.
Le Mans winless run in Ligue 1
Le Mans entered the match day still searching for their first Ligue 1 win of the season, having drawn 1-1 against Nice in their previous league outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.