Le Havre AC — Angers SCO: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.3% |
| 12 | 72.2% | |
| X2 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.9% / 21.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.7% / 68.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.8% / 84.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.8% / 93.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Le Havre AC
16th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Brest 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Lyon 1:1
- 23.08.2026 home Monaco 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Lorient 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home Marseille 0:1
Angers SCO
12th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Rennes 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Auxerre 3:1
- 23.08.2026 home Lille 0:2
- 17.05.2026 away Brest 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Strasbourg 1:1
This season: Le Havre AC at home vs Angers SCO away
| Metric | Le Havre AC · at home | Angers SCO · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.31 | 1.74 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 1.29 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 18.04.2026 Angers SCO 1:1 Le Havre AC
- 04.01.2026 Le Havre AC 2:1 Angers SCO
- 02.02.2025 Angers SCO 1:1 Le Havre AC
- 01.12.2024 Le Havre AC 0:1 Angers SCO
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Le Havre AC and Angers SCO appear closely matched ahead of their Ligue 1 meeting. The overall assessment points to a balanced contest rather than a clear advantage for either side, with moderate confidence in that reading. The available signal gives Le Havre AC some protection through the home result or draw, but it does not suggest a decisive gap between the teams.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate from the alternative. That combination points towards an open but controlled encounter, where periods of pressure could alternate and small details may shape the outcome. Le Havre AC may benefit from playing at home, yet Angers SCO have a credible route to taking something from the match. A draw looks well within the range of plausible outcomes, and the game should remain competitive deep into the second half.
What matters before kick-off
Early season league form
Le Havre picked up just one point from their opening three Ligue 1 fixtures, following a 2-1 loss to Brest in their last outing. Angers earned three points across their first three league games, courtesy of a win over Auxerre alongside two defeats.
Squad availability and discipline
Le Havre are without Junior Mwanga due to suspension, while Angers have midfielder Haris Belkebla sidelined with an injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.