Le Havre AC — Stade Brest 29: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.0% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.7% / 23.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.9% / 71.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.9% / 86.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Le Havre AC
15th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Lyon 1:1
- 23.08.2026 home Monaco 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Lorient 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home Marseille 0:1
- 03.05.2026 away Lille 1:1
Stade Brest 29
11th place · 2 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Toulouse 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Le Mans 2:2
- 17.05.2026 home Angers 1:1
- 13.05.2026 home Strasbourg 1:2
- 10.05.2026 away Paris SG 0:1
This season: Le Havre AC at home vs Stade Brest 29 away
| Metric | Le Havre AC · at home | Stade Brest 29 · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.60 | 2.73 |
| xG against per match | 1.39 | 0.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.03.2026 Stade Brest 29 2:0 Le Havre AC
- 29.10.2025 Le Havre AC 1:0 Stade Brest 29
- 26.01.2025 Le Havre AC 0:1 Stade Brest 29
- 06.10.2024 Stade Brest 29 2:0 Le Havre AC
- 03.03.2024 Stade Brest 29 1:0 Le Havre AC
- 20.08.2023 Le Havre AC 1:2 Stade Brest 29
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Le Havre AC and Stade Brest 29 meet in a Ligue 1 contest that appears finely balanced. The available assessment describes the teams as evenly matched, with moderate confidence, so the game may be shaped by small details rather than a clear difference in overall strength. The market signal points toward Stade Brest 29 having some protection against defeat, although the broader outlook remains cautious.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with likely outcomes ranging from a 1:1 draw to narrow wins for either side. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, which leaves the attacking pattern difficult to define in advance. Le Havre AC will look to make home advantage count, while Stade Brest 29 may be able to keep the contest competitive and possibly gain the stronger result. Overall, a close match with limited separation between the sides is the most consistent reading.
What matters before kick-off
Team news and injuries
Le Havre are without Abdoulaye Toure, Felix Khonde Mambimbi, Paul Argney, and Stephan Zagadou due to injuries. Stade Brest 29 have Brendan Chardonnet, Romain Cagnon, Mamady Diambou, and Justin Bourgault sidelined.
Recent league performance
Le Havre started their Ligue 1 campaign with a 1-0 defeat to Monaco followed by a 1-1 draw against Lyon. Stade Brest 29 opened their season with back-to-back 2-2 draws against Le Mans and Toulouse.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.