Angers SCO — Stade Rennais FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 43.1% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 79.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.1% / 35.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.0% / 58.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.8% / 76.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Angers SCO host Stade Rennais FC in Ligue 1 on 6 September 2026, with the match scheduled to kick off at 15:15 UTC. The assessment gives Stade Rennais FC a slight edge, with high confidence in that reading. This points to a contest in which the visitors may be better placed to avoid defeat, although the margin between the teams is not expected to be decisive.
The attacking outlook is positive, with a high-scoring match considered likely and both teams expected to find the net. That makes a narrow away win or an open draw the most plausible scenarios. A 1-1 draw is one possible scoreline, while 1-2 and 0-2 also reflect the slight advantage held by Stade Rennais FC. Angers SCO should therefore remain competitive, but Stade Rennais FC appear more likely to leave with at least a share of the points.
What matters before kick-off
Team availability news
Rennes defender Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal misses the match following the birth of his son. Meanwhile, summer signing Boulaye Dia receives his first squad call-up five days after joining the club.
Recent Ligue 1 results
Angers head into the fixture following a 3-1 away victory against AJ Auxerre. Meanwhile, Rennes secured a 3-2 home win over Le Mans in their previous league outing.
Head-to-head record
Stade Rennais enter the match on a seven-game unbeaten streak against Angers SCO in head-to-head encounters.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.