Match intelligence

Angers SCO — Stade Rennais FC: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026

League: Ligue 1 (France) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Angers SCO1
:
2Stade Rennais FC
Locked signal X2 Probability 77.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 22.9% Home win Angers SCO
X 24.6% Draw
W2 52.5% Away win Stade Rennais FC
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X279.8%
Both teams to score
Yes62.4%
Totals 2.5
Over64.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X43.1%
1277.1%
X279.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No62.4% / 37.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.3% / 4.7%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 85.2% / 14.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 64.1% / 35.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 42.0% / 58.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 23.8% / 76.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 11.7% / 88.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Angers SCO × Stade Rennais FC
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.7%
0:1 6.7%
0:2 8.1%
0:3 5.7%
0:4 3.0%
0:5 1.3%
1
1:0 3.4%
1:1 10.4%
1:2 9.8%
1:3 6.8%
1:4 3.6%
1:5 1.5%
2
2:0 2.7%
2:1 5.6%
2:2 5.9%
2:3 4.1%
2:4 2.2%
2:5 0.9%
3
3:0 1.1%
3:1 2.2%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 1.6%
3:4 0.9%
3:5 0.4%
4
4:0 0.3%
4:1 0.7%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.3%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.4%
1:29.8%
0:28.1%
1:36.8%
0:16.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026

Angers SCO

11th place · 3 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.08.2026 away Auxerre 3:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Lille 0:2
  • 17.05.2026 away Brest 1:1
  • 10.05.2026 home Strasbourg 1:1
  • 03.05.2026 away Auxerre 1:3

Stade Rennais FC

6th place · 4 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 home Le Mans 3:2
  • 23.08.2026 home Paris SG 2:2
  • 17.05.2026 away Marseille 1:3
  • 10.05.2026 home Paris FC 2:1
  • 03.05.2026 away Lyon 2:4

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Angers SCO wins0
Draws1
Stade Rennais FC wins5
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 11.04.2026 Stade Rennais FC 2:1 Angers SCO
  • 31.08.2025 Angers SCO 1:1 Stade Rennais FC
  • 30.03.2025 Angers SCO 0:3 Stade Rennais FC
  • 15.12.2024 Stade Rennais FC 2:0 Angers SCO
  • 30.04.2023 Stade Rennais FC 4:2 Angers SCO
  • 23.10.2022 Angers SCO 1:2 Stade Rennais FC

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Angers SCO host Stade Rennais FC in Ligue 1 on 6 September 2026, with the match scheduled to kick off at 15:15 UTC. The assessment gives Stade Rennais FC a slight edge, with high confidence in that reading. This points to a contest in which the visitors may be better placed to avoid defeat, although the margin between the teams is not expected to be decisive.

The attacking outlook is positive, with a high-scoring match considered likely and both teams expected to find the net. That makes a narrow away win or an open draw the most plausible scenarios. A 1-1 draw is one possible scoreline, while 1-2 and 0-2 also reflect the slight advantage held by Stade Rennais FC. Angers SCO should therefore remain competitive, but Stade Rennais FC appear more likely to leave with at least a share of the points.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Team availability news

Rennes defender Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal misses the match following the birth of his son. Meanwhile, summer signing Boulaye Dia receives his first squad call-up five days after joining the club.

Schedule

Recent Ligue 1 results

Angers head into the fixture following a 3-1 away victory against AJ Auxerre. Meanwhile, Rennes secured a 3-2 home win over Le Mans in their previous league outing.

Match fact

Head-to-head record

Stade Rennais enter the match on a seven-game unbeaten streak against Angers SCO in head-to-head encounters.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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