KV Kortrijk — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.7% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.0% / 18.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W2 | was 2.55 → now 2.40 |
Match preview
KV Kortrijk and SK Beveren meet in the First Division A on 20 September 2026, with the available assessment pointing to an evenly matched contest. Confidence in that reading is moderate, so there is no clear basis for separating the sides strongly before kick-off. The X2 signal gives a slight lean toward SK Beveren avoiding defeat, although the overall balance remains close.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That suggests an open enough contest for chances at both ends, without indicating an especially high-scoring game. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, underlining the narrow margins between the teams. A draw would fit the balanced assessment, while a modest advantage for either side would also be consistent with the forecast.
What matters before kick-off
KV Kortrijk's recent match result
KV Kortrijk comes into the match following a 3-0 away defeat against RAAL La Louvière in their previous league fixture.
SK Beveren's recent match result
SK Beveren enters the fixture on the back of a 2-0 home victory over Sint-Truiden, with Chris Lokesa and Jearl Margaritha on the scoresheet.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.