Konyaspor — Kocaelispor: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.3% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.9% / 30.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.5% / 96.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Konyaspor
18th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:4
- 15.08.2026 home Rizespor 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:3
- 01.05.2026 away Rizespor 2:3
Kocaelispor
11th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 home Amedspor 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:2
- 17.05.2026 away Antalyaspor 0:1
- 09.05.2026 home Karagumruk 0:1
- 03.05.2026 away Kasimpasa 1:1
This season: Konyaspor at home vs Kocaelispor away
| Metric | Konyaspor · at home | Kocaelispor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| xG against per match | 1.52 | 1.96 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 14.03.2026 Kocaelispor 1:2 Konyaspor
- 18.10.2025 Konyaspor 2:3 Kocaelispor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Konyaspor hold a slight edge over Kocaelispor in this Super Lig meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence advantage, while the overall market signal points toward Konyaspor avoiding defeat. That suggests a match in which home control may be important, although the gap between the teams is not presented as overwhelming.
The game is expected to fall into a medium-scoring range, with 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0 among the most likely scorelines. This reflects a contest that could remain balanced for long periods before a decisive moment separates the sides. Whether both teams score is difficult to call, with that outcome assessed as evenly poised. Kocaelispor therefore remain capable of contributing to a close match, but Konyaspor’s home advantage gives them the stronger overall position.
What matters before kick-off
Kocaelispor's previous match result
In their previous Super Lig match, Kocaelispor secured a 2-0 home victory over Amedspor.
Konyaspor's recent league outing
In their most recent league outing, Konyaspor suffered a 4-2 defeat away against Fenerbahce.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.