Gaziantep FK — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 57.6% |
| 12 | 72.6% | |
| X2 | 69.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Gaziantep FK
5th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Eyupspor 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:1
- 16.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 1:2
- 09.05.2026 away Goztep 1:2
- 01.05.2026 home Besiktas 0:2
Caykur Rizespor
13th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Samsunspor 0:2
- 15.08.2026 away Konyaspor 1:0
- 15.05.2026 home Besiktas 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away Eyupspor 0:4
- 01.05.2026 home Konyaspor 3:2
This season: Gaziantep FK at home vs Caykur Rizespor away
| Metric | Gaziantep FK · at home | Caykur Rizespor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.28 | 1.52 |
| xG against per match | 1.25 | 0.61 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.04.2026 Caykur Rizespor 2:1 Gaziantep FK
- 08.11.2025 Gaziantep FK 2:2 Caykur Rizespor
- 03.05.2025 Caykur Rizespor 2:0 Gaziantep FK
- 09.12.2024 Gaziantep FK 1:0 Caykur Rizespor
- 17.03.2024 Caykur Rizespor 3:1 Gaziantep FK
- 06.11.2023 Gaziantep FK 2:0 Caykur Rizespor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate-confidence contest, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. The expected scoring level is medium, suggesting a game that could develop through measured attacking spells rather than become an open shootout from the start.
Both teams are likely to score, which gives the match a balanced but competitive outlook. The main scenarios include a 1:1 draw, while 1:2 and 2:1 also reflect the narrow margin separating Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor. The signal leans toward Caykur Rizespor avoiding defeat, but the even nature of the matchup makes the draw a prominent possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Gaziantep FK suspension
Gaziantep FK midfielder Juninho Bacuna is suspended for the match following a red card received during matchday two against Eyupspor.
Gaziantep FK's previous result
Gaziantep FK claimed their first Super Lig victory of the season with a 1-0 away win against Eyupspor, courtesy of a goal from Deian Sorescu.
Caykur Rizespor's previous result
Caykur Rizespor suffered a 2-0 home loss against Samsunspor in matchday two after opening their campaign with a 1-0 win at Konyaspor.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.