Gaziantep FK — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 57.6% |
| 12 | 72.6% | |
| X2 | 69.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate-confidence contest, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. The expected scoring level is medium, suggesting a game that could develop through measured attacking spells rather than become an open shootout from the start.
Both teams are likely to score, which gives the match a balanced but competitive outlook. The main scenarios include a 1:1 draw, while 1:2 and 2:1 also reflect the narrow margin separating Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor. The signal leans toward Caykur Rizespor avoiding defeat, but the even nature of the matchup makes the draw a prominent possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Gaziantep FK suspension
Gaziantep FK midfielder Juninho Bacuna is suspended for the match following a red card received during matchday two against Eyupspor.
Gaziantep FK's previous result
Gaziantep FK claimed their first Super Lig victory of the season with a 1-0 away win against Eyupspor, courtesy of a goal from Deian Sorescu.
Caykur Rizespor's previous result
Caykur Rizespor suffered a 2-0 home loss against Samsunspor in matchday two after opening their campaign with a 1-0 win at Konyaspor.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.