Eyupspor — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.2% |
| 12 | 69.5% | |
| X2 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.7% / 78.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.4% / 96.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Eyupspor and Alanyaspor meet in the Super Lig with a slight edge for the visitors, although the moderate confidence indicates a fairly open assessment rather than a decisive gap. Alanyaspor appear to have the stronger overall outcome signal, while Eyupspor remain well placed to make the contest competitive, particularly on home ground.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, but the expectation that both teams will score is finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines point toward a controlled and closely contested game, with 1:1 and 0:0 reflecting the uncertainty around the attacking balance, while 0:1 supports the narrow advantage for Alanyaspor. The X2 signal therefore favours Alanyaspor avoiding defeat, but the draw remains an important possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Eyupspor search for first points after back-to-back losses
Eyüpspor lost their opening two Süper Lig matches of the season 1-0 against Beşiktaş and Gaziantep, leaving them without points or goals.
Alanyaspor unbeaten with four points from opening matches
Alanyaspor enter the third round unbeaten after securing a 1-0 home victory against Beşiktaş following an opening draw with Gaziantep.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.