Eyupspor — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.2% |
| 12 | 69.5% | |
| X2 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.7% / 78.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.3% / 90.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.4% / 96.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Eyupspor
17th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Gaziantep 0:1
- 16.08.2026 away Besiktas 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 3:3
- 09.05.2026 home Rizespor 4:0
- 03.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:1
Alanyaspor
7th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Besiktas 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Gaziantep 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Karagumruk 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Kayserispor 3:1
- 03.05.2026 away Antalyaspor 0:0
This season: Eyupspor at home vs Alanyaspor away
| Metric | Eyupspor · at home | Alanyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.49 | 1.25 |
| xG against per match | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 31.01.2026 Alanyaspor 1:3 Eyupspor
- 25.08.2025 Eyupspor 2:1 Alanyaspor
- 19.01.2025 Eyupspor 3:0 Alanyaspor
- 11.08.2024 Alanyaspor 1:1 Eyupspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Eyupspor and Alanyaspor meet in the Super Lig with a slight edge for the visitors, although the moderate confidence indicates a fairly open assessment rather than a decisive gap. Alanyaspor appear to have the stronger overall outcome signal, while Eyupspor remain well placed to make the contest competitive, particularly on home ground.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, but the expectation that both teams will score is finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines point toward a controlled and closely contested game, with 1:1 and 0:0 reflecting the uncertainty around the attacking balance, while 0:1 supports the narrow advantage for Alanyaspor. The X2 signal therefore favours Alanyaspor avoiding defeat, but the draw remains an important possibility.
What matters before kick-off
Eyupspor search for first points after back-to-back losses
Eyüpspor lost their opening two Süper Lig matches of the season 1-0 against Beşiktaş and Gaziantep, leaving them without points or goals.
Alanyaspor unbeaten with four points from opening matches
Alanyaspor enter the third round unbeaten after securing a 1-0 home victory against Beşiktaş following an opening draw with Gaziantep.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.