Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Trabzonspor: Win probabilities, 31.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 54.6% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 70.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.6% / 18.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.9% / 63.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler face Trabzonspor in a Super Lig meeting where the visitors hold a slight but credible advantage. The available assessment points toward a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with Trabzonspor better positioned in the result market while the draw remains a realistic alternative. The signal also supports a cautious away-oriented view, meaning Amed Sportif Faaliyetler should not be discounted at home.
The game is projected to produce a medium level of scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open enough contest without implying an extreme goal total. The most consistent score scenarios are a draw with goals or a narrow Trabzonspor victory, including 1-1 and 1-2 patterns. Overall, Trabzonspor have the clearer edge, but Amed Sportif Faaliyetler have a reasonable path to make the match close and maintain uncertainty deep into the game.
What matters before kick-off
First senior meeting
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler and Trabzonspor face each other at the senior team level for the first time in matchday 3 of the Turkish Super Lig.
Trabzonspor squad news
Trabzonspor included new signing Fabinho in their traveling squad to face Amedspor, while Ruslan Malinovskyi and Benjamin Bouchouari were ruled out with injuries.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.