Galatasaray Istanbul — Goztepe Izmir: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.4% |
| 12 | 85.8% | |
| X2 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.4% / 13.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.3% / 72.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Galatasaray Istanbul
2nd place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.08.2026 away Erzurumspor 4:0
- 14.08.2026 home Corum 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:1
- 09.05.2026 home Antalyaspor 4:2
- 02.05.2026 away Samsunspor 1:4
Goztepe Izmir
14th place · 1 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:1
- 17.08.2026 away Samsunspor 3:3
- 16.05.2026 away Samsunspor 0:3
- 09.05.2026 home Gaziantep 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Trabzonspor 1:1
This season: Galatasaray Istanbul at home vs Goztepe Izmir away
| Metric | Galatasaray Istanbul · at home | Goztepe Izmir · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.90 | 1.89 |
| xG against per match | 0.61 | 2.74 |
| Shots on target per match | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.04.2026 Goztepe Izmir 1:3 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 26.10.2025 Galatasaray Istanbul 3:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 24.05.2025 Goztepe Izmir 0:2 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 04.01.2025 Galatasaray Istanbul 2:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 21.02.2022 Goztepe Izmir 2:3 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 26.09.2021 Galatasaray Istanbul 2:1 Goztepe Izmir
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Galatasaray Istanbul go into this Super Lig meeting as the clearly stronger side, with the available assessment giving the hosts a high-confidence edge over Goztepe Izmir. The scoring outlook is also tilted toward an open, high-scoring contest rather than a match expected to remain tight throughout. That combination points to Galatasaray Istanbul having the stronger attacking platform and greater scope to control the main phases of the game.
The expectation that both teams score is evenly balanced, so Goztepe Izmir cannot be ruled out from contributing despite the overall gap between the teams. The most plausible scorelines are 2:0, 3:0 and 2:1, which reflect a home victory while allowing for different levels of resistance from the visitors. The central reading remains a home win, but the exact margin depends on whether Goztepe Izmir can turn its opportunities into goals and limit the hosts' attacking pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Early season form
Galatasaray sit on four points after two Süper Lig matches following a 4-0 victory over Erzurumspor FK. Göztepe have recorded one point from their opening two games, coming off a 1-0 home loss to Gençlerbirliği.
Head-to-head record
Galatasaray have won each of their last nine encounters against Göztepe.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.