Konyaspor — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.8% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Konyaspor and Caykur Rizespor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. That balance suggests the match could be shaped by small differences in execution, particularly in how each team manages key phases rather than by a clearly superior approach.
The expected scoring level is medium, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. A draw is therefore a credible scenario, although Konyaspor’s home advantage gives the hosts a slight positional edge in the overall outlook. The most plausible score patterns indicate a competitive contest that could remain close throughout, with a narrow home win or a shared result both consistent with the assessment.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.