Match intelligence

Konyaspor — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026

League: Super Lig (Turkey) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Konyaspor0
:
1Caykur Rizespor
Locked signal 1X Probability 67.7% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 40.4% Home win Konyaspor
X 27.3% Draw
W2 32.3% Away win Caykur Rizespor
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.5%
Both teams to score
Yes59.4%
Totals 2.5
Over54.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X66.3%
1272.5%
X261.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No59.4% / 40.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.1% / 6.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 79.5% / 20.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 54.9% / 45.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 32.5% / 67.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 16.4% / 83.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 7.2% / 92.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Konyaspor × Caykur Rizespor
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.9%
0:1 6.5%
0:2 5.4%
0:3 2.5%
0:4 0.9%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 7.1%
1:1 12.9%
1:2 8.0%
1:3 3.7%
1:4 1.3%
1:5 0.4%
2
2:0 6.3%
2:1 8.7%
2:2 6.0%
2:3 2.8%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 3.1%
3:1 4.3%
3:2 3.0%
3:3 1.4%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.2%
4:1 1.6%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.4%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.9%
2:18.7%
1:28.0%
1:07.1%
0:06.9%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 17.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:2
  • 09.05.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:3
  • 01.05.2026 away Rizespor 2:3
  • 27.04.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:1
  • 17.04.2026 away Antalyaspor 2:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.05.2026 home Besiktas 2:2
  • 09.05.2026 away Eyupspor 0:4
  • 01.05.2026 home Konyaspor 3:2
  • 25.04.2026 away Kayserispor 0:2
  • 17.04.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:2

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Konyaspor wins1
Draws3
Caykur Rizespor wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 01.05.2026 Caykur Rizespor 3:2 Konyaspor
  • 06.12.2025 Konyaspor 1:1 Caykur Rizespor
  • 10.05.2025 Konyaspor 2:1 Caykur Rizespor
  • 14.12.2024 Caykur Rizespor 1:1 Konyaspor
  • 03.02.2024 Caykur Rizespor 0:0 Konyaspor
  • 16.09.2023 Konyaspor 1:2 Caykur Rizespor

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Konyaspor and Caykur Rizespor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting on 15 August 2026. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clearly defined advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, particularly how each team manages the balance between attacking ambition and defensive security.

The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, while both teams are likely to find the net. A 1:1 draw is among the leading scorelines, although 2:1 and 1:2 are also considered plausible outcomes. This range reflects the narrow gap between Konyaspor and Caykur Rizespor rather than a strong directional prediction. The home side may have a slight structural benefit from playing at home, but the overall picture remains balanced, with the visitors capable of making the game competitive if they convert their opportunities.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Super Lig opening round

The 2026/27 Turkish Super Lig matchday 1 fixture between Konyaspor and Caykur Rizespor is scheduled for August 15, 2026, at Konya Buyuksehir Stadium.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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