Genclerbirligi SK — Fenerbahce Istanbul: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 39.8% |
| 12 | 77.5% | |
| X2 | 82.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.5% / 21.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.4% / 83.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Trabzonspor 3:0
- 09.05.2026 home Kasimpasa 3:2
- 03.05.2026 away Karagumruk 0:1
- 26.04.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:0
- 18.04.2026 home Galatasaray 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Eyupspor 3:3
- 09.05.2026 away Konyaspor 3:0
- 02.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 3:1
- 26.04.2026 away Galatasaray 0:3
- 17.04.2026 home Rizespor 2:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.02.2026 Fenerbahce Istanbul 3:1 Genclerbirligi SK
- 31.08.2025 Genclerbirligi SK 1:3 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 14.03.2021 Fenerbahce Istanbul 1:2 Genclerbirligi SK
- 21.11.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 1:5 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 07.07.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 1:1 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 06.12.2019 Fenerbahce Istanbul 5:2 Genclerbirligi SK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Genclerbirligi SK face Fenerbahce Istanbul in a Super Lig meeting where the visitors appear clearly stronger on the available indicators. The assessment carries moderate confidence, so the difference in projected quality should be viewed as meaningful rather than decisive. Fenerbahce Istanbul are the more likely side to control the match and create the better opportunities, while Genclerbirligi SK may need to rely on disciplined defending and efficient attacking transitions.
The scoring outlook points to a medium-scoring game. A Fenerbahce Istanbul victory with a controlled margin is the central expectation, although a draw remains a plausible alternative. The possibility of both teams scoring is balanced, suggesting that Genclerbirligi SK have a reasonable chance of finding a response even if they spend long periods under pressure. Overall, the matchup gives Fenerbahce Istanbul the clearer edge, but the moderate confidence level leaves room for a competitive contest rather than an entirely one-sided performance.
What matters before kick-off
Fenerbahce's European qualification
Fenerbahce enters the Süper Lig season opener following qualification in the UEFA Champions League, having defeated Sturm Graz 3-0 on aggregate.
Süper Lig season opener in Ankara
Fenerbahce kicks off its 2026-27 Turkish Süper Lig campaign with an away fixture against Genclerbirligi at the Eryaman Stadium in Ankara.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
