Galatasaray Istanbul — Corum FK: Win probabilities, 14.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.6% |
| 12 | 83.5% | |
| X2 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.1% / 35.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.0% / 58.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.8% / 76.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Galatasaray Istanbul go into this Super Lig fixture as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence behind the home outcome. Corum FK face a difficult task against opponents expected to control much of the match, particularly if Galatasaray Istanbul can impose their attacking rhythm from the start. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring game, making the hosts’ ability to create sustained pressure an important factor.
The outlook does not make both teams scoring a clear expectation, so Corum FK’s contribution in the final third remains the main uncertainty. The most likely scorelines are 2-0, 3-0 and 1-0, all of which reflect an advantage for Galatasaray Istanbul while allowing for different levels of resistance from Corum FK. Overall, the analysis supports a strong home performance, but the exact margin may depend on how efficiently the hosts convert their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig season opener
Defending champions Galatasaray host newly promoted Çorum FK at RAMS Park in the opening match of the 2026-27 Süper Lig season.
First competitive head-to-head meeting
This fixture marks the first competitive head-to-head encounter in history between Galatasaray and newly promoted Çorum FK.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.