Gaziantep FK — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.4% / 26.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.5% / 74.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 1:2
- 09.05.2026 away Goztep 1:2
- 01.05.2026 home Besiktas 0:2
- 25.04.2026 away Eyupspor 0:3
- 20.04.2026 home Kayserispor 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.05.2026 away Karagumruk 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Kayserispor 3:1
- 03.05.2026 away Antalyaspor 0:0
- 27.04.2026 home Samsunspor 2:3
- 19.04.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.04.2026 Gaziantep FK 1:1 Alanyaspor
- 03.11.2025 Alanyaspor 0:0 Gaziantep FK
- 09.05.2025 Gaziantep FK 0:1 Alanyaspor
- 14.12.2024 Alanyaspor 3:0 Gaziantep FK
- 02.04.2024 Gaziantep FK 0:3 Alanyaspor
- 11.11.2023 Alanyaspor 0:3 Gaziantep FK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no decisive advantage, while the moderate confidence reflects a balanced contest in which small details may shape the outcome. Neither side stands out clearly enough to make a firm prediction.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, with both teams scoring considered an even possibility. That points to a game where chances should emerge for both attacks, but neither is strongly favoured to control the scoring. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, illustrating the narrow margins between the possible outcomes. Overall, Gaziantep FK may have a slight positional edge through the home setting, but Alanyaspor remain fully competitive and a draw is a realistic scenario.
What matters before kick-off
Super Lig opening fixture
Gaziantep FK host Alanyaspor in the opening round of the 2026-27 Turkish Super Lig season at Gaziantep Stadium.
Away head-to-head record
Alanyaspor are unbeaten in their last four league visits to Gaziantep FK, recording three wins and one draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.