Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Erzurumspor FK: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.8% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.7% / 68.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.9% / 84.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler have a slight edge over Erzurumspor FK in this Super Lig meeting, although the assessment carries moderate confidence rather than pointing to a clear separation between the sides. The home advantage gives Amed Sportif Faaliyetler a narrowly stronger position, but Erzurumspor FK remain well placed to make the contest competitive.
The match is expected to have a medium-scoring profile, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests an open but balanced encounter, where neither defence can be expected to control the game throughout. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler may have the better platform to avoid defeat, yet Erzurumspor FK have enough attacking potential in this assessment to keep the result uncertain until late in the match.
What matters before kick-off
Match details and referee appointment
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler host Erzurumspor FK at Diyarbakır Stadyumu on August 16, 2026, in the opening week of the Süper Lig season. Halil Umut Meler was appointed as the main referee.
Amedspor's Süper Lig debut
This match marks the historical debut for Amed Sportif Faaliyetler in the Turkish Süper Lig.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.