Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Erzurumspor FK: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.7% |
| 12 | 73.7% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.2% / 43.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.8% / 23.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler host Erzurumspor FK in a Super Lig fixture that looks closely balanced on the available indicators. Neither side has a clear overall advantage, so the matchup is best viewed as an even contest rather than one where either team should control the game comfortably. The moderate confidence level also points to some uncertainty around the final outcome.
The scoring outlook is medium, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 among the most plausible scorelines. That suggests a match that could remain competitive throughout, with limited room separating the teams. Whether both sides score is difficult to assess, as the available signal does not strongly favour either scenario. A home result or draw appears more consistent with the broader assessment, but Erzurumspor FK should remain capable of making the contest difficult for Amed Sportif Faaliyetler.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.