Besiktas Istanbul — Eyupspor: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.7% |
| 12 | 84.8% | |
| X2 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.4% / 14.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.3% / 34.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Besiktas Istanbul enter this Super Lig meeting with a clear qualitative advantage over Eyupspor. The available assessment rates the hosts as clearly stronger, with high confidence, making the home side the more convincing choice in the match outcome market. That edge should be reflected in Besiktas Istanbul controlling more of the game and creating the stronger attacking threat.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest with several goals possible. The leading scoreline scenarios all favour Besiktas Istanbul, including wins by two or three goals, although a narrower home victory is also considered plausible. Whether both teams find the net is less certain, so Eyupspor’s attacking contribution remains the main variable. Overall, the match profile supports a high-scoring game in which Besiktas Istanbul are expected to impose themselves, while Eyupspor will need to remain disciplined and make the most of their opportunities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.