Besiktas Istanbul — Eyupspor: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.1% |
| 12 | 83.9% | |
| X2 | 25.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.2% / 15.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.5% / 36.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.4% / 58.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.2% / 76.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.4% / 88.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.05.2026 away Rizespor 2:2
- 09.05.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:2
- 01.05.2026 away Gaziantep 2:0
- 27.04.2026 home Karagumruk 0:0
- 19.04.2026 away Samsunspor 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 3:3
- 09.05.2026 home Rizespor 4:0
- 03.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:1
- 25.04.2026 home Gaziantep 3:0
- 18.04.2026 away Karagumruk 2:1
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 26.01.2026 Eyupspor 2:2 Besiktas Istanbul
- 17.08.2025 Besiktas Istanbul 2:1 Eyupspor
- 21.02.2025 Eyupspor 1:3 Besiktas Istanbul
- 22.09.2024 Besiktas Istanbul 2:1 Eyupspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Besiktas Istanbul enter this Super Lig meeting as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with some caution. The home team has the more favourable projected outcome, while Eyupspor face a demanding task away from home. The overall picture points toward Besiktas Istanbul having the stronger platform, but not toward an unquestionable result.
The match is expected to have a high-scoring profile, making attacking quality and defensive discipline important factors for both teams. The projection leans toward Besiktas Istanbul scoring more than once, while several plausible scorelines also leave room for Eyupspor to find a goal. Whether both teams score is considered evenly balanced, so that aspect is less clear than the broader home-team advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Super Lig season opener
Besiktas host Eyupspor at Tupras Stadium on August 16, 2026, in the opening round of the 2026-27 Turkish Super Lig season.
Besiktas Europa League result
Prior to the league kickoff, Besiktas secured a 1-0 victory against Czech club Hradec Kralove in UEFA Europa League qualifying.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.