Kocaelispor — Amed Sportif Faaliyetler: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.6% |
| 12 | 71.1% | |
| X2 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.8% / 28.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.9% / 76.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Kocaelispor welcome Amed Sportif Faaliyetler in a Super Lig meeting that looks evenly matched. The available assessment points to a moderate-confidence contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a game likely to be decided by small details rather than a sustained imbalance, while the home setting gives Kocaelispor some positional benefit.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 1:0 and 0:1 among the plausible outcomes. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, so the match could develop either as an open exchange or a tighter battle with limited clear chances. Kocaelispor may have a slight edge in avoiding defeat, but Amed Sportif Faaliyetler remain well placed to compete for points. A draw appears consistent with the overall balance, although a narrow win for either team would also fit the available indicators.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 1 Results
In the opening week of the Turkish Super Lig season, Kocaelispor suffered a 2-0 loss against Istanbul Basaksehir, while Amed SK secured a 3-0 victory over Erzurumspor.
Previous Head-to-Head Encounter
In their most recent head-to-head meeting in February 2025, Kocaelispor defeated Amed 1-0 at home.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.