Kilmarnock FC — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
33.5%
Home win
Kilmarnock FC
X
25.8%
Draw
W2
40.7%
Away win
St. Johnstone FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.2%
Both teams to score
Yes62.3%
Totals 2.5
Over59.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.3% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.0% / 18.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Goal distribution model
Kilmarnock FC × St. Johnstone FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.6%
0:1
6.6%
0:2
6.1%
0:3
3.3%
0:4
1.3%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
5.8%
1:1
11.9%
1:2
8.8%
1:3
4.7%
1:4
1.9%
1:5
0.6%
2
2:0
4.9%
2:1
7.9%
2:2
6.4%
2:3
3.4%
2:4
1.4%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
2.4%
3:1
3.8%
3:2
3.1%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.9%
4:1
1.4%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.9%
1:28.8%
2:17.9%
0:16.6%
2:26.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Kilmarnock FC
11th place · 9 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Falkirk 0:3
- 17.10.2026 home Motherwell 3:2
- 10.10.2026 away Rangers 1:3
- 19.09.2026 home Hearts 1:1
- 15.09.2026 away Hibernian 1:0
St. Johnstone FC
8th place · 13 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Rangers 0:4
- 17.10.2026 home Dundee United 1:1
- 11.10.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
- 19.09.2026 home Falkirk 1:1
- 09.09.2026 home Celtic 0:1
This season: Kilmarnock FC at home vs St. Johnstone FC away
| Metric | Kilmarnock FC · at home | St. Johnstone FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–3 | 1–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xG for per match | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| xG against per match | 2.89 | 2.17 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Corners per match | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Kilmarnock FC wins3
Draws0
St. Johnstone FC wins3
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 02.08.2026 St. Johnstone FC 4:3 Kilmarnock FC
- 03.05.2025 St. Johnstone FC 0:2 Kilmarnock FC
- 15.02.2025 Kilmarnock FC 3:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 23.11.2024 St. Johnstone FC 1:0 Kilmarnock FC
- 11.08.2024 Kilmarnock FC 0:3 St. Johnstone FC
- 13.04.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:2 Kilmarnock FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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