Heart of Midlothian FC — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.3% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 69.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.1% / 16.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 28.10.2026
Heart of Midlothian FC
3rd place · 20 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Motherwell 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Celtic 1:7
- 10.10.2026 home St Mirren 5:0
- 19.09.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:1
- 15.09.2026 away Falkirk 1:2
Glasgow Rangers
2nd place · 24 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home St Johnstone 4:0
- 17.10.2026 away Dundee 2:2
- 10.10.2026 home Kilmarnock 3:1
- 20.09.2026 away Celtic 1:0
- 09.09.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
This season: Heart of Midlothian FC at home vs Glasgow Rangers away
| Metric | Heart of Midlothian FC · at home | Glasgow Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–0 | 3–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.25 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| xG for per match | 2.28 | 1.58 |
| xG against per match | 0.72 | 1.09 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.75 | 6.80 |
| Corners per match | 8.75 | 6.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.05.2026 Heart of Midlothian FC 2:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 15.02.2026 Glasgow Rangers 4:2 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 21.12.2025 Heart of Midlothian FC 2:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 13.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers 0:2 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 16.02.2025 Heart of Midlothian FC 1:3 Glasgow Rangers
- 10.11.2024 Glasgow Rangers 1:0 Heart of Midlothian FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Heart of Midlothian FC face Glasgow Rangers in a Premiership contest between two sides with strong credentials, although the visitors hold a slight edge overall. Heart of Midlothian FC sit third with 20 points from 11 matches, while Glasgow Rangers are second on 24 points. Recent form favours the visitors, who have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just three. Heart of Midlothian FC have been less consistent, with two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five games, despite scoring 10 goals.
The home side’s record at their own ground is a significant counterweight. Heart of Midlothian FC have won all four home league matches this season, scoring 13 goals and conceding only two. Glasgow Rangers have also been reliable away from home, recording three wins and two draws in five matches without a defeat. Both teams create more chances than they allow, suggesting that the contest could feature sustained attacking pressure at both ends. Their recent head-to-head record is evenly split, with three wins apiece across six meetings, and the latest encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Heart of Midlothian FC. A competitive, potentially high-scoring match looks plausible, with both teams capable of finding the net and Glasgow Rangers holding a moderate overall advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Harry Milne injury
Hearts left-back Harry Milne has been ruled out for the remainder of the season after sustaining an ACL knee injury in training, as confirmed by head coach Wouter Vrancken.
Rangers squad update
Rangers manager Derek McInnes confirmed during his pre-match press conference that his side have no fresh injury concerns ahead of their trip to Tynecastle.
Recent league results
Hearts head into the fixture following a 2-0 away victory over Motherwell, while Rangers earned a 4-0 home win against St Johnstone in their last Premiership match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
