Falkirk FC — Celtic Glasgow: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
10.5%
Home win
Falkirk FC
X
14.9%
Draw
W2
74.6%
Away win
Celtic Glasgow
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X289.5%
Both teams to score
Yes57.9%
Totals 2.5
Over71.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 25.4% |
| 12 | 85.1% | |
| X2 | 89.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.5% / 2.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.5% / 28.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.3% / 68.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
Goal distribution model
Falkirk FC × Celtic Glasgow
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.5%
0:1
6.7%
0:2
9.3%
0:3
8.5%
0:4
5.8%
0:5
3.2%
1
1:0
2.3%
1:1
6.6%
1:2
8.9%
1:3
8.1%
1:4
5.6%
1:5
3.1%
2
2:0
1.1%
2:1
3.1%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
2.7%
2:5
1.5%
3
3:0
0.4%
3:1
1.0%
3:2
1.4%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.3%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:29.3%
1:28.9%
0:38.5%
1:38.1%
0:16.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Falkirk FC
7th place · 13 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Kilmarnock 3:0
- 17.10.2026 away Hibernian 2:1
- 10.10.2026 home Dundee 1:2
- 19.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:1
- 15.09.2026 home Hearts 2:1
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 28 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Hibernian 2:1
- 18.10.2026 home Hearts 7:1
- 11.10.2026 away Motherwell 2:0
- 20.09.2026 home Rangers 0:1
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
This season: Falkirk FC at home vs Celtic Glasgow away
| Metric | Falkirk FC · at home | Celtic Glasgow · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–3 | 5–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.51 | 2.96 |
| xG against per match | 1.63 | 1.12 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.60 | 10.40 |
| Corners per match | 5.40 | 8.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
Falkirk FC wins0
Draws0
Celtic Glasgow wins5
Goals per match2.80
Both teams scored2/5
Over 2.5 goals3/5
- 29.08.2026 Celtic Glasgow 2:1 Falkirk FC
- 25.04.2026 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Falkirk FC
- 01.02.2026 Celtic Glasgow 2:0 Falkirk FC
- 14.01.2026 Falkirk FC 0:1 Celtic Glasgow
- 29.10.2025 Celtic Glasgow 4:0 Falkirk FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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