KI Klaksvik — KKS Lech Poznan: Win probabilities, 14.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.4% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 80.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.6% / 62.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.2% / 79.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KI Klaksvik face KKS Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League qualification, with the visitors holding a clear edge in the pre-match assessment. The advantage for KKS Lech Poznan is meaningful but not overwhelming, so the outlook should be treated with moderate confidence rather than as a definitive prediction. KI Klaksvik will need to limit the visitors’ opportunities and keep the contest compact if they are to challenge that assessment.
The expected pattern is a medium-scoring match, with the clearest signal pointing towards an away win. A result in which KKS Lech Poznan control the game and maintain a clean sheet is among the plausible scenarios, although a narrow away victory also fits the overall picture. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so that aspect remains less certain than the result direction. Overall, KKS Lech Poznan appear better placed, while KI Klaksvik retain a realistic chance of keeping the margin close.
What matters before kick-off
Match rescheduled due to heavy fog
The UEFA Europa League third qualifying round second leg between KÍ Klaksvík and Lech Poznań was rescheduled by UEFA from Thursday to Friday following a two-day travel disruption for the Polish squad caused by heavy fog in the Faroe Islands.
First-leg result advantage
Lech Poznań enter the second leg with a 1-0 aggregate lead over KÍ Klaksvík after securing a late victory in the first leg courtesy of a goal by striker Yannick Agnero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.