KAA Gent — IFK Goteborg: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.1% |
| 12 | 79.5% | |
| X2 | 38.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.2% / 20.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.5% / 65.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.9% / 82.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KAA Gent enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie with a moderate but clear advantage over IFK Goteborg. The assessment points toward the hosts being the stronger side, although the gap is not described as decisive. That suggests KAA Gent should have more control of the match, while IFK Goteborg may still remain competitive if they can limit the space available to the home attack.
The game is expected to fall into a medium-scoring pattern, with both teams scoring considered finely balanced rather than strongly indicated in either direction. The most plausible scorelines are narrow KAA Gent victories, ranging from a controlled 1:0 to a more open 2:1, with 2:0 also fitting the overall outlook. The central expectation is therefore a home win, but the moderate confidence level leaves room for the match to develop more evenly than the pre-match assessment suggests.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
KAA Gent secured a 1-0 away victory against IFK Goteborg in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League third qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.