FK Austria Wien — Beitar Jerusalem FC: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.4% |
| 12 | 75.9% | |
| X2 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.2% / 18.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FK Austria Wien and Beitar Jerusalem FC meet in the UEFA Conference League qualification at a stage where the available indicators point to a closely balanced contest. The overall assessment is moderate rather than decisive, with neither side holding a clear structural advantage. That balance makes the match difficult to separate, particularly because both teams are expected to contribute in attack.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with a reasonable prospect of goals at both ends. A 1-1 draw is among the most plausible scenarios, while narrow wins for either FK Austria Wien or Beitar Jerusalem FC also fit the assessment. The visitors have a slight edge in the broader market signal, but the difference is not strong enough to outweigh the evenly matched profile. The key question may be which side manages its attacking opportunities more efficiently without leaving spaces in transition.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Qualification Result
On August 6, 2026, FK Austria Wien secured a 2–1 away victory over Beitar Jerusalem in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round at the Ilie Oană Stadium in Ploiești.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.