Ipswich Town — Fulham: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.7% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.8% / 45.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.2% / 24.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Ipswich Town
11th place · 6 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Everton 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Crystal Palace 3:2
- 04.09.2026 home Liverpool 0:2
- 30.08.2026 away Man United 2:5
- 22.08.2026 home Sunderland 2:1
Fulham
19th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Man United 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Liverpool 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sunderland 0:1
- 24.08.2026 home Chelsea 2:3
This season: Ipswich Town at home vs Fulham away
| Metric | Ipswich Town · at home | Fulham · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.28 | 0.82 |
| xG against per match | 0.67 | 1.65 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 05.01.2025 Fulham 2:2 Ipswich Town
- 31.08.2024 Ipswich Town 1:1 Fulham
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Ipswich Town host Fulham at Portman Road in a fixture where the table tells one story and the recent patterns tell another. The hosts sit 11th with 6 points from 5 matches, while Fulham arrive 19th of 20 with just 2 points, having drawn two and lost three of their last five. On paper that gap looks sizeable, yet Ipswich Town themselves have only two wins in their last five and have conceded eleven goals across that run, so neither side arrives in confident form.
The head-to-head adds further nuance. The two previous meetings both ended in draws, including a 2-2 result at Craven Cottage in 2025, with both teams scoring on each occasion. Fulham's away profile is a concern for them — no goals scored in two away trips this season — but Ipswich Town's home sample is equally thin, split one win and one defeat. The qualitative read is of two evenly matched sides, with only a moderate lean either way.
Expect a cautious, medium-scoring contest. The likely scorelines of 1-1, 0-1 and 1-0 reflect a game where margins should be slim and the opening goal is likely to shape the remainder of the ninety minutes.
What matters before kick-off
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku suspended for Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town will be without Abdul Fatawu Issahaku against Fulham after the winger received a red card in their 1-0 defeat to Everton.
Fulham seeking first Premier League win under Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham enter Matchweek 6 still searching for their first Premier League victory under new head coach Álvaro Arbeloa.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.