Hull City — Everton: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.6% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 75.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.4% / 75.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Hull City
8th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Newcastle 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Chelsea 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Aston Villa 0:0
- 29.08.2026 away Coventry 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Man United 2:0
Everton
7th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Ipswich 1:0
- 12.09.2026 away Tottenham 0:0
- 06.09.2026 home Man United 2:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bournemouth 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:0
This season: Hull City at home vs Everton away
| Metric | Hull City · at home | Everton · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.79 | 1.48 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 1.42 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Hull City face Everton with the visitors holding a slight edge according to the available assessment. The confidence in that lean is high, while the overall scoring outlook is described as medium-scoring. The available signal also points toward Everton avoiding defeat, although the match remains open to different outcomes.
The scoring assessment suggests a balanced attacking picture, with both teams scoring described as a coin flip. The most likely scorelines listed are 1:1, 0:1, and 1:2, reflecting a contest in which a draw remains plausible alongside narrow Everton victories. Overall, Hull City have home advantage, but Everton enter the match with the stronger analytical signal.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.