Instituto AC Cordoba — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.0% |
| 12 | 70.2% | |
| X2 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 34.4% / 65.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 15.7% / 84.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.9% / 98.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 17.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
- 03.08.2026 away Lanus 1:0
- 30.07.2026 home Platense 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Huracan 0:2
- 04.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 0:1
- 28.07.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
This season: Instituto AC Cordoba at home vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro away
| Metric | Instituto AC Cordoba · at home | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 6–1–3 | 2–7–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.40 | 0.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 24.02.2026 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:1 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 23.08.2025 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 18.02.2025 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:1 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 06.10.2024 Instituto AC Cordoba 2:0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- 20.05.2023 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 2:0 Instituto AC Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Instituto AC Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight but credible edge over CA San Lorenzo de Almagro. The available signals point toward a controlled match rather than an open contest, with limited scoring expected. Instituto AC Cordoba may be better placed to take initiative at home, but the margin between the teams appears narrow enough for a draw to remain a realistic outcome.
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are likely to face a disciplined defensive challenge, while the hosts will need patience to turn their territorial advantage into clear chances. A clean sheet is considered likely, which further supports a match decided by a single moment rather than sustained attacking pressure. The most plausible game states are a narrow Instituto AC Cordoba win or a goalless draw, with a low-scoring stalemate also possible if neither side can make the decisive breakthrough.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 7 fixture in Torneo Clausura
Instituto host San Lorenzo as part of matchday 7 in the first stage of the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.