Argentinos Juniors — CA Aldosivi: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.6% |
| 12 | 78.1% | |
| X2 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.8% / 60.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.2% / 8.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.6% / 25.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.08.2026 away Lanus 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away River Plate 0:2
- 10.08.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Belgrano 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Tigre 0:0
- 07.08.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
- 02.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 29.07.2026 away Barracas Central 0:1
This season: Argentinos Juniors at home vs CA Aldosivi away
| Metric | Argentinos Juniors · at home | CA Aldosivi · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 9–5–0 | 0–2–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.29 | 0.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.43 | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 31.03.2026 CA Aldosivi 0:2 Argentinos Juniors
- 27.09.2025 CA Aldosivi 0:2 Argentinos Juniors
- 14.03.2025 Argentinos Juniors 0:2 CA Aldosivi
- 07.06.2022 Argentinos Juniors 2:1 CA Aldosivi
- 06.12.2021 CA Aldosivi 3:2 Argentinos Juniors
- 02.05.2021 CA Aldosivi 1:3 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Argentinos Juniors approach this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture as the clearly stronger side, although the assessment carries moderate confidence rather than certainty. The available signals point to a home advantage, with Argentinos Juniors expected to control more of the match and create the more convincing opportunities. CA Aldosivi will need to remain compact and disciplined if they are to limit the hosts’ influence, particularly in a game where the overall scoring level is projected to be moderate.
The main expectation is for Argentinos Juniors to press their superiority without the match becoming particularly open. A clean sheet appears more likely than both teams finding the net, which places added importance on CA Aldosivi’s ability to resist pressure and make their limited attacking moments count. The balanced interpretation is therefore a controlled home performance, with the visitors’ defensive organisation likely to shape the contest. A narrow or measured win for Argentinos Juniors fits the available indicators better than a high-scoring encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial change at Aldosivi
CA Aldosivi manager Israel Damonte left his role following a 2-0 loss to Independiente Rivadavia in the Copa Argentina, with Mariano Felices taking over as interim head coach.
Aldosivi eliminated from Copa Argentina
Midweek, CA Aldosivi suffered a 2-0 defeat against Independiente Rivadavia in the round of 16, resulting in their elimination from the Copa Argentina.
Argentinos Juniors Clausura standing
Argentinos Juniors enter the fixture sitting top of Zone B in the Torneo Clausura after collecting 13 points from six matches under manager Nicolás Diez.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.