Match intelligence

CA Talleres de Cordoba — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Talleres de Cordoba0
:
0CA Central Cordoba SE
Locked signal Under Probability 56.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 55.3% Home win CA Talleres de Cordoba
X 28.3% Draw
W2 16.5% Away win CA Central Cordoba SE
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X80.5%
Both teams to score
No52.8%
Totals 2.5
Under57.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X80.5%
1270.5%
X249.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No47.2% / 52.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 89.0% / 11.0%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 70.9% / 29.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 42.9% / 57.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 22.0% / 78.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 9.5% / 90.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.5% / 96.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Talleres de Cordoba × CA Central Cordoba SE
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.0%
0:1 6.1%
0:2 3.4%
0:3 1.0%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 12.1%
1:1 13.9%
1:2 5.2%
1:3 1.5%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.6%
2:1 9.2%
2:2 4.0%
2:3 1.2%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 5.4%
3:1 4.7%
3:2 2.0%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.1%
4:1 1.8%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.6%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.9%
1:012.1%
0:011.0%
2:010.7%
2:19.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.08.2026 home Rosario Central 2:2
  • 18.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 1:3
  • 12.08.2026 home Lanus 0:3
  • 03.08.2026 away Platense 4:0
  • 30.07.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.08.2026 away Tigre 1:2
  • 17.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
  • 11.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 04.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
  • 31.07.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:2

This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away

Metric CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home CA Central Cordoba SE · away
Matches1111
W–D–L4–2–51–3–7
Goals scored per match1.090.36
Goals conceded per match1.271.45
Over 2.5 goals55%27%
Both teams scored45%27%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Talleres de Cordoba wins2
Draws1
CA Central Cordoba SE wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 24.02.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 02.06.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:4 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 20.02.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 25.06.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 29.07.2021 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 17.08.2019 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Talleres de Cordoba have a slight edge over CA Central Cordoba SE, although the low confidence attached to that assessment points to a closely contested match. The available scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with a narrow range of plausible outcomes. A draw remains a realistic possibility, while a controlled home victory is also consistent with the overall signal.

The most likely scorelines point toward a restrained contest, with 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0 all featuring in the assessment. That suggests limited separation between the teams and little evidence of an open, high-scoring game. Whether both teams score is difficult to call, effectively a balanced question, so neither side should be treated as certain to find the net. The market signal leans toward the Under, reinforcing the expectation of a match decided by small margins, if it is decided at all.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Matchday 7 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura

CA Talleres hosts CA Central Córdoba (SE) in Round 7 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, with both teams searching for points in the lower part of the standings.

Schedule

Talleres drew in previous matchday

In Matchday 6, Talleres played out a 2-2 draw against Rosario Central, with Agustín Álvarez and Valentín Depietri scoring for the team.

Schedule

Recent defeat for Central Córdoba

Central Córdoba enters the match following a 2-1 away defeat against Tigre in the Torneo Clausura.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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