CA Banfield — CA River Plate (ARG): Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 39.3% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 86.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.0% / 10.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.1% / 28.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
- 15.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0
- 28.07.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 2:2
- 16.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:0
- 08.08.2026 away Tigre 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 29.07.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:1
This season: CA Banfield at home vs CA River Plate (ARG) away
| Metric | CA Banfield · at home | CA River Plate (ARG) · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 5–2–3 | 4–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 26.02.2026 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:1 CA Banfield
- 02.11.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:1 CA Banfield
- 18.02.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 1:1 CA Banfield
- 25.09.2023 CA Banfield 1:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 12.06.2023 CA Banfield 1:4 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 14.09.2022 CA River Plate (ARG) 1:2 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Banfield face CA River Plate (ARG) in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the available assessment giving the visitors a clear edge at moderate confidence. The overall expectation is for a medium-scoring match, with the most plausible scorelines pointing toward a narrow away win rather than a one-sided result.
CA River Plate (ARG) appear better placed to control the outcome, but CA Banfield remain capable of keeping the contest close. The main projected paths include a 0-1 or 0-2 result, while 1-1 is also considered a realistic alternative. The outlook on both teams scoring is balanced, so it is difficult to establish a firm expectation on that specific point. Overall, the analysis favours CA River Plate (ARG), while leaving room for a competitive match and a draw if CA Banfield can limit the visitors' advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Demanding stretch for River Plate
River Plate enter the fixture winless in three matches across all competitions, having drawn 2-2 with Vélez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional on August 23 before being eliminated from the Copa Sudamericana by Independiente Santa Fe.
Banfield's recent form
Banfield suffered a defeat to Newell's Old Boys in their previous league outing, having previously beaten Racing Club in Liga Profesional and CA Ferrocarril Midland in the Copa Argentina.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.