Atletico Tucuman — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.2% |
| 12 | 66.7% | |
| X2 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.1% / 13.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.1% / 35.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 35.3% / 64.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.3% / 83.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.1% / 97.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Instituto 0:0
- 17.08.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:0
- 08.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:2
- 04.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 31.07.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:2
- 15.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:0
- 10.08.2026 away Banfield 2:0
- 06.08.2026 away Tigre 0:0
- 01.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
This season: Atletico Tucuman at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away
| Metric | Atletico Tucuman · at home | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 2–7–2 | 6–5–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 38% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.02.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3:1 Atletico Tucuman
- 22.09.2024 Atletico Tucuman 2:4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 06.05.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:0 Atletico Tucuman
- 23.11.2018 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:3 Atletico Tucuman
- 30.09.2017 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 26.11.2016 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Atletico Tucuman and CA Belgrano de Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. Atletico Tucuman have a slight edge in the protection of the home result, but the balance remains delicate rather than decisive.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, making control in midfield and efficiency in limited attacking moments especially important. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the game could develop through a small number of clear chances rather than sustained pressure. A draw such as 1:1 or 0:0 fits the balanced outlook, while a narrow 1:0 home victory is also consistent with the assessment. With moderate confidence, the main expectation is for a tight encounter in which small details may determine whether Atletico Tucuman or CA Belgrano de Cordoba gain the advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Recent results and standings
Atlético Tucumán enter matchday 7 of the Torneo Clausura following a 0-0 draw against Instituto, placing them 6th in Zone B with nine points. CA Belgrano de Córdoba sit 5th in Zone B with ten points after a 2-1 defeat to Defensa y Justicia in their previous match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.