Deportivo Riestra AFBC — Velez Sarsfield: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.4% |
| 12 | 64.7% | |
| X2 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.7% / 17.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:2
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Barracas Central 0:1
- 29.07.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away River Plate 2:2
- 17.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:1
- 08.08.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:1
- 03.08.2026 home Independiente 1:0
- 30.07.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 3:1
This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs Velez Sarsfield away
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home | Velez Sarsfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–5–3 | 4–6–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.82 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.45 | 0.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 9% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 18% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 25.02.2026 Velez Sarsfield 0:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 2:2 Velez Sarsfield
- 29.03.2025 Velez Sarsfield 0:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:1 Velez Sarsfield
- 15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:2 Velez Sarsfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra AFBC and Velez Sarsfield look evenly matched ahead of this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest in which neither side holds a clear advantage. With moderate confidence in that reading, the game may be decided by small details rather than sustained dominance from either team.
The expected pattern is low-scoring, with a clean sheet likely and limited space for attacking combinations. That makes defensive structure, patience in possession and the management of set pieces especially important. A goalless draw is among the plausible scorelines, while 1:1 and 1:0 also fit the overall outlook. Deportivo Riestra AFBC have a slight practical advantage from playing at home, but the balance remains close enough that Velez Sarsfield should be capable of keeping the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Vélez Sarsfield remain undefeated
Vélez Sarsfield enter matchday 7 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura against Deportivo Riestra undefeated after six matches (three wins and three draws). Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team came off a 2-2 draw away at River Plate in their previous outing.
Vélez Sarsfield squad preparation
Vélez Sarsfield manager Guillermo Barros Schelotto confirmed the squad list for the away match against Deportivo Riestra on matchday 7 of the Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.