CA Tigre — CA Barracas Central: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.3% |
| 12 | 68.3% | |
| X2 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.9% / 15.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 14.5% / 85.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.7% / 98.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 2:1
- 15.08.2026 away Aldosivi 0:0
- 08.08.2026 home River Plate 1:0
- 06.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:0
- 02.08.2026 away Racing Club 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Platense 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:0
- 29.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
This season: CA Tigre at home vs CA Barracas Central away
| Metric | CA Tigre · at home | CA Barracas Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 5–5–1 | 4–4–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.27 | 0.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 36% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.02.2026 CA Barracas Central 2:1 CA Tigre
- 20.10.2025 CA Tigre 2:2 CA Barracas Central
- 12.04.2025 CA Barracas Central 1:0 CA Tigre
- 02.12.2024 CA Barracas Central 0:0 CA Tigre
- 17.07.2023 CA Tigre 0:1 CA Barracas Central
- 11.06.2022 CA Tigre 1:1 CA Barracas Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Tigre meet CA Barracas Central in the Primera LPF, Clausura with a slight but meaningful advantage on the home side. The available assessment points toward a controlled match in which CA Tigre are more likely to shape the contest, while CA Barracas Central may focus on keeping the structure compact and limiting clear openings. The teams appear better suited to a cautious tactical battle than an open exchange.
Scoring is expected to remain low, with the match potentially decided by a single moment rather than sustained attacking pressure. A clean sheet is considered likely, which reinforces the expectation of a narrow margin or a goalless draw. The main analytical lean is therefore toward CA Tigre avoiding defeat, while the draw remains a significant possibility if CA Barracas Central can maintain defensive discipline. The most plausible score patterns are a narrow home win or a stalemate.
What matters before kick-off
Five-match unbeaten run for Tigre
Tigre under manager Diego Dabove enter matchday 7 of the Torneo Clausura on a five-game unbeaten streak in the league, coming off a 2-1 victory over Central Córdoba.
Losing streak for Barracas Central
Barracas Central under manager Damián Ayude have lost their last three Torneo Clausura fixtures and were recently eliminated from the Copa Argentina following a 3-1 defeat to Estudiantes.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.