Defensa y Justicia — CA Platense: Win probabilities, 31.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.4% |
| 12 | 66.9% | |
| X2 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.7% / 97.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Belgrano 2:1
- 17.08.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 09.08.2026 home Newells Old Boys 2:1
- 01.08.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:3
- 29.07.2026 home Dep. Riestra 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
- 16.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Independiente 1:0
- 03.08.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 0:4
- 30.07.2026 away Instituto 1:2
This season: Defensa y Justicia at home vs CA Platense away
| Metric | Defensa y Justicia · at home | CA Platense · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–6–2 | 3–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.02.2026 CA Platense 0:0 Defensa y Justicia
- 15.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia 1:2 CA Platense
- 04.03.2025 CA Platense 0:1 Defensa y Justicia
- 29.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia 1:3 CA Platense
- 31.01.2024 Defensa y Justicia 3:0 CA Platense
- 27.08.2023 CA Platense 0:0 Defensa y Justicia
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Defensa y Justicia and CA Platense appear evenly matched in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The available assessment points toward a moderate-confidence contest with limited scoring, suggesting that neither side is expected to establish a clear attacking advantage. The central question may be whether either team can turn a balanced match into a narrow lead without exposing space at the other end.
A draw is a credible scenario, with 1:1 and 0:0 among the most likely scorelines, while a narrow 1:0 result is also possible. The projection that both teams score is finely balanced, so the match could develop either as a cautious exchange with chances at both ends or as a more contained encounter. Overall, the outlook gives Defensa y Justicia a slight protective edge, but the teams remain closely matched and the margin between the possible outcomes is small.
What matters before kick-off
Platense's Copa Argentina match
Four days prior to facing Defensa y Justicia, Platense played in the Copa Argentina against Instituto, winning in a penalty shootout following a 1-1 draw.
Recent win for Defensa y Justicia
In their previous league contest, Defensa y Justicia secured a 2-1 road victory against Belgrano with goals from César Pérez and Damián Fernández.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.