Independiente Rivadavia — CA Aldosivi: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 89.8% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 31.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.1% / 23.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.9% / 86.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away River Plate 1:3
- 31.08.2026 home Racing Club 3:1
- 22.08.2026 away Independiente 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Belgrano 0:2
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Banfield 3:1
- 30.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 21.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Tigre 0:0
- 07.08.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
This season: Independiente Rivadavia at home vs CA Aldosivi away
| Metric | Independiente Rivadavia · at home | CA Aldosivi · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 9–1–3 | 0–2–10 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.08 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.15 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 85% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 03.05.2026 CA Aldosivi 1:1 Independiente Rivadavia
- 01.11.2025 CA Aldosivi 3:1 Independiente Rivadavia
- 23.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia 1:0 CA Aldosivi
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Independiente Rivadavia have the clearer outlook against CA Aldosivi in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The available assessment gives the hosts a moderate but meaningful advantage, suggesting they are clearly stronger overall without making the match outcome certain. The expected pattern points toward a medium-scoring contest, with Independiente Rivadavia more likely to control the important phases and create the better platform for a home win.
The scoring outlook remains balanced in one important respect: both teams scoring is described as a coin flip. That leaves room for several plausible match scripts. The main scoreline indications are 2:0 and 1:0 in favour of Independiente Rivadavia, while 1:1 is also considered possible if CA Aldosivi can stay compact and make their opportunities count. Overall, the hosts hold the edge, but the moderate confidence level points to a match where the margin may remain narrow rather than an overwhelmingly one-sided contest.
What matters before kick-off
Independiente Rivadavia's previous result
On September 6, 2026, Independiente Rivadavia suffered a 3-1 away defeat to River Plate in matchday 8 of the Torneo Clausura.
Recent Copa Argentina encounter
In August 2026, Independiente Rivadavia defeated Aldosivi in the Copa Argentina round of 16 to advance to the quarter-finals.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.